Food inflation at record high; MPs to grill Bank of England over SVB UK collapse – business live

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Key events

Inflation is lingering much longer than analysts had hoped or expected, warns Victoria Scholar, head of investment at interactive investor, following this morning’s BRC shop price data.

Food price inflation is particularly strong given the recent supply issues for salad and vegetables in the UK because of disappointing harvests in Spain and North Africa. When inflation takes its toll on consumer staples, those at the lower end of the income spectrum get hit hardest, exacerbating the cost of living crisis particularly for those in low income households.

But analysts do still expect inflation to cool this year, Scholar adds:

Although the official headline inflation figure remains in double digits, hitting 10.4% in February, the OBR is still confident that price pressures will ease throughout the rest of this year, heading back below 3% by the end of 2023.

However if March and April’s inflation readings continues to show persistent price pressures, there may be revisions to this rosy outlook, particularly if there continue to be issues around sugar production, vegetable harvests and energy costs.”

David Miles explains living standards are expected to fall by 6% over this fiscal year & next as inflation outstrips income growth

This is less than the 7% fall we expected in Nov but still the largest two-year fall since ONS records began in the 1950s#SpringBudget #Budget2023 pic.twitter.com/u08ZlD9Qb7

— Office for Budget Responsibility (@OBR_UK) March 22, 2023

888, the gambling company which took over William Hill last year, says it has implemented a “rigorous action plan” to address the failings which led to this morning’s record fine from the Gambling Commission.

An 888 spokesperson says:

“The settlement relates to the period when William Hill was under the previous ownership and management. After William Hill was acquired, the company quickly addressed the identified issues with the implementation of a rigorous action plan.

“The entire Group shares the GC’s commitment to improve compliance standards across the industry and we will continue to work collaboratively with the regulator and other stakeholders to achieve this.”

UK's William Hill fined £19m for widespread gambling failures

Betting firm William Hill has been hit by a record fine by the Gambling Commission.

Three gambling firms owned by William Hill are to pay penalties of £19.2m for failing to protect consumers and weak anti-money laundering controls.

The record penalty comes after the Gambling Commission found “widespread and alarming” issues at the company, which led the commission to give “serious consideration” to spending the firm’s licence.

William Hill fined a record £19.2m for failings in social responsibility and anti-money laundering. The list of transgressions is...quite something. The Gambling Commission considered suspending it's licence (although obviously they didn't). pic.twitter.com/Y9dhZByn4e

— Rob Davies (@ByRobDavies) March 28, 2023

Andrew Rhodes, the Gambling Commission’s chief executive, explains:

“When we launched this investigation the failings we uncovered were so widespread and alarming serious consideration was given to licence suspension.

However, because the operator immediately recognised their failings and worked with us to swiftly implement improvements, we instead opted for the largest enforcement payment in our history.”

The Commission found that customers were allowed to deposit large sums of money without the companies conducting any checks, the Commission said.

One customer was allowed to open a new account and spend £23,000 in 20 minutes without any checks. Another was allowed to open an account and spend £18,000 in 24 hours without any checks.

The firms also failed to identify certain customers at risk of experiencing gambling related harm, and didn’t carry out checks at an early stage in the customer’s journey. One customer lost £14,902 in 70 minutes.

Gambling harm is a serious issue in the UK; a study in January found that up to a million women are at risk of being harmed by gambling.

A second study, last week, found that gambling addiction rates may be nine times higher than the betting industry claims.

There were also some shocking failures to follow anti-money laundering rules, with customers allowed to deposit large amounts without conducting appropriate checks.

One customer was able to spend and lose £70,134 in a month, another to lose £38,000 in five weeks and another to lose £36,000 in four days

Fruit and vegetable shortages push UK food inflation to record high

UK households continue to be hit hard by soaring food prices, with annual inflation in British shops reaching its highest in at least 18 years in March.

Food inflation accelerated to 15.0% in March, up from 14.5% in February, new figures from the British Retail Consortium this morning show.

That’s sharply higher than the official CPI inflation rate of 10.4% in February, as prices continue to soar in the shops.

Shortages of fruit and vegetables pushed up prices, the BRC reports, with fresh food inflation accelerating to 17.0% in March, up from 16.3% in February.

That is the highest inflation rate in the fresh food category on record (going back to 2005), illustrating that the cost of living squeeze has not eased.

Helen Dickinson OBE, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium, warned that shop price inflation has “yet to peak” – with rising sugar prices meaning Easter chocolate treats will be expensive.

Dickinson explains:

As Easter approaches, the rising cost of sugar coupled with high manufacturing costs left some customers with a sour taste, as price rises for chocolate, sweets and fizzy drinks increased in March.

Fruit and vegetable prices also rose as poor harvests in Europe and North Africa worsened availability, and imports became more expensive due to the weakening pound. Some sweeter deals were available in non-food, as retailers offered discounts on home entertainment goods and electrical appliances.

Prices of “Ambient food” – such as sauces, soups, preserves, confectionery and cereals – also continued to rise. Ambient Food inflation accelerated to 12.4% in March, up from 12.2% in February, a record high.

Food price inflation disproportionately affects low-income families (food makes up a greater share of their spending, as we all have to eat!), meaning that poorer households suffer a higher inflation rate than average.

BOE Governor says bank runs quicker in the age of social media

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned last night that the age of social media and digital banking is causing lightening-quick bank runs.

It’s a hint of what he may tell the Treasury committee later this morning, on the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (whose customers had rushed to move their money to other accounts once problems emerged at the bank).

Bloomberg has the details:

Bailey said one of the lessons regulators need to learn from SVB is the “speed at which runs can take place” given the technological advances since the financial crisis.

“It is striking that that happened very quickly — word gets around,” he said Monday in response to questions after a speech at the London School of Economics.

“This is very different from the Northern Rock-style queue outside the branch type thing.”

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has warned that the age of social media and digital banking is causing lightening-quick bank runs after the sudden collapse of SVB https://t.co/qkhrI3hLZS

— Bloomberg (@business) March 28, 2023

Introduction: MPs to grill Bank of England over SVB UK collapse

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

Fears over the banking sector may have eased this week, but policymakers are keen to understand exactly why several banks collapsed in recent weeks.

This morning, top officials from the Bank of England will be quizzed by the Treasury Committee about the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank UK, and its rescue by HSBC two weeks ago for £1.

The Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, will testify alongside Sam Woods, the chief executive of the Prudential Regulation Authority, and Sir Dave Ramsden, the Bank’s Deputy Governor for Markets.

The committee want to learn more about the Bank’s actions to resolve SVB UK, and how the lender – which provided support to many tech start-ups – was supervised before its collapse.

They’ll probably also discuss wider stresses in the banking sector, including the impact of the failure of Credit Suisse on the UK, and what lessons can be learnt about the regulation of the banking sector.

Last night, Bailey insisted in a speech that the UK banking system was resilient, with “robust capital and liquidity positions”, and in a good position to support the economy.

The BoE governor told the London School of Economics:

We have a strong macroprudential policy regime in this country. With the Financial Policy Committee on the case of securing financial stability, the Monetary Policy Committee can focus on its own important job of returning inflation to target.

In a letter to the cross-party Treasury select committee published last week,Bailey revealed the Bank of England had warned US regulators over the risks building at Silicon Valley Bank well before its collapse.

Last night, the White House insisted the US banking system was safe despite stress on some institutions, following the collapse of both Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, and crypto-focused Silvergate, this month.

Asked whether the worst of the banking crisis was behind the country after failed Silicon Valley was purchased with the aid of a government backstop, the White House’s top spokesperson said Americans can be ‘confident’ in their banks.

White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters:

“Because of the decisive actions that we have seen ... from our administration, the banking regulators and also the Treasury Department, the banking system is safe.”

European stock markets are set to open higher, adding to yesterday’s gains after First Citizens, a North Carolina lender, took over most of Silicon Valley’s loans and assets.

The agenda

  • 8am BST: Grocery inflation report from Kantar

  • 9.45am BST: Bank of England gives evidence to Treasury Committee on collapse and rescue of Silicon Valley Bank UK

  • 1.30pm BST: US goods trade balance index for February

  • 2pm BST: US house price index

  • 3pm BST: US consumer confidence report for March

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